Analysis: Vista opportunity have not old way of undone or heavy development walking along XP

September 6, 2008

According to foreign media coverage, although a lot of people think Windows Vista is without a hope, but when the development course that reviews Windows XP when us, meet however amazed discovery is having a lot of collective places between this both, so, the hope of Vista have not undone.

Windows Vista is released already 21 months. But the report according to Gartner, till today, no matter be domestic user or commercial user, do not have too large interest to it it seems that. This means the Windows that has 23 years of histories to moving toward disintegrate stage by stage it seems that. Meanwhile, windows XP is in its elder to retire ” namely however ” during still get however of people dote on.

But this kind looks was like bright contrast to conceal a fact however: XP got consumer favour to experience endless period —— likewise even more endless than Vista even. Track the data of company AssetMetrix according to asset, in September 2003, namely after XP issues 23 months formally, of the business market that XP is in the United States and Canada have rate it is only 6.6% . photograph comparing, forrester Research Inc. data shows, to this year in June end, namely the 19th month after Vista is released, this operating system is in global enterprise of the market have rate achieved 8.8% . The author of this report, the analyst of Forrester holds Mass in the palm - Meng Deer (Thomas Mendel) think, vista and in those days the new recipe that Coke Cola releases is same, it is the product of a failure.

However, even if predicted the Gartner of Windows adversity also thinks successfully, to this year the end of the year, vista will be compared lie in those days the XP of contemporaneity is more popular. They predict, to this year end, vista has rate general to achieve in global market 28% , and the market of the XP of year end was had 2003 rate it is only 22% .

The analyst Michael Er of Directions On Microsoft of market analysis company - cut luck (Michael Cherry) say: “Of XP arisen far in comparing people impression slow much. “He still points out, have a lot of IT administrator at first ” thinks XP is nevertheless face consumer upgrade just. “People is more loving at that time at Windows 2000. When XP is released, windows 2000 still is less than 2 years old. To a lot of people character, use the XP system of new edition to not was necessary completely. “XP is regarded to be beautification of a course upgrade edition product, itself does not calculate going up is a brand-new operating system, “Be located in Meng Fei this food manufacturer ACH Foods Inc. Tang Ni of presiding information officer - this special Wood (Donnie Steward) memory arrives.

Still erupted subsequently a series of safe problems, although the security of XP gets the affirmation of people now, but when it just was released 2002, differ completely however. Be located in still the fitness of his city implement manufacturer LifeTime Products Inc. presiding information officer writings brush about - wave ascend (John Bowden) express, a few years that when just releasing, because lack security, XP encountered much criticism. Even if installed SP1, the safe problem of XP still did not get very good settlement. He says: “In those days, we XP assimilate to it is Swiss cheese —— it is flaw completely! We XP assimilate to it is Swiss cheese —— it is flaw completely!!

To solve safe problem, microsoft was developed SP2, popularize its come. But still put in two problems: Above all, not be everybody thinks SP2 can solve the confirm that this one viewpoint also was in all problem —— to receive a share subsequently. Next, SP2 was done to the system not small alter, destroyed process of a few application even, among them much is the applied process that is aimed at an enterprise. This also makes a lot of enterprises prohibit the PC of the company upgrades to SP2.

Of course, vista is behaved fatigued and weak, also have its distinctive reason. Windows XP changed the system again after a lot of consumer bought the PC that installs Vista beforehand. Meanwhile, mac OS X also reaved share of one share market from inside Windows hand. Cloud computation technology also joined competitive procession in. And the successor of Vista, the Windows 7 that was about to release 2010 formed certain concussion to Vista likewise. This special Wood and wave are ascended express to they jump over Vista probably and use Windows 7 directly.

But, a lot of difficulty that Vista place faces also had encountered before XP, overcame finally nevertheless. For example economy glides, internet bubble burst is worth when XP is released when. Terminal consumer also is opposite likewise the price strategy of Microsoft has expressed dissatisfaction.

To most user character, the change always is not a favour. This also is one of reasons that a lot of users do not agree to use Vista tardy. Because this Vista is not special case, XP has encountered similar case likewise before. The current situation of Vista is close friends even the anticipation that is in charge of at a few IT. The IT that comes from company of California Glenn County is in charge of Cambria (Wales) express: “It (point to Vista) pretty good still. And it made not small promotion in ground floor. And it made not small promotion in ground floor..

And Vista still has a few window to make people OK long-term to its development holds a hope:

(1) fictitious change solve compatibility problem

As identical as Vista, XP also rolled out process of a ” application the XP that compatible mode ” uses new edition with exciting old user operating system. But this mode is faulty. But Vista is IT however administrator offerred more alternatives, will help them give up the apprehension of compatibility.

For example, stem from safe consideration, glenn County runs Vista with standard mode and did not move with administrator mode. But a few significant software of manpower resource branch issue ability to move quite in administrator mode only however. To solve this problem, cambria says, the applied program that she used Microsoft is fictitious changed a technology to found a complete applied process package, can be through mode of manager of this kind of manner in fictitious machine move, avoid terminal user to use administrator limits of authority thereby.

(2) configuration and management are more convenient

Microsoft and manufacturer of a few tripartite rolled out a lot of advanced configuration tools and systematic management software, cooperating bigger bandwidth again, make an administrator OK more convenient management has PC, this should go to the lavatory more than XP.

(3) produce 64 advantages adequately

The Vista that moves with 32 mode is not had than XP how old advantage. But if cooperating double nucleus or 4 nucleuses processor,run Vista with 64 mode, plus move the storage space of high capacity and memory and show calorie of He Kuanbing video high-poweredly, the advantage of Vista is very clear.

5 years before, consumer cannot enjoy such configuration. More important is, support 64 systems without a few software in those days. This weakened the dominant position of Vista greatly. The ” chicken that this is a standard gives birth to egg and egg to lay the issue of gallinaceous ” . And Microsoft ever also had emphasized, XP does not support 64 real environments.

To Vista, 64 appear slowly accept for people place, is science and technology of bureau be confined to has a fever not just in friend. Microsoft makes a statement last month say, the of 20% new Vista PC inside beautiful territory used 64 pattern, and when March, this one word is only 3% . This will make software firm finally produce the high-powered product that is aimed at Vista to get used to 64 operating systems.

Besides, the history still repeats likely. XP quickens dilate gradually, when be being released till Vista, XP just is able to gain ground truly. As identical as this, observe the personage also thinks inside a few course of study, although Vista still is in now,the shadow of Windows 7 is enveloped under, but the issuance of Vista SP2 makes Vista likely truly popular rise.

Gartner predicts, to 2009 year end, of XP have rate general to glide 44% , and the market of Vista has rate hopeful to achieve 49% , exceed XP finally.

Many enterprises upgrade PC to Vista in the consideration, although still exist to complain not less, but the IT director of the enterprise thinks this kind of change wants to happen sooner or later.

Additional, the company or that great majority is not willing to use Vista is too be reluctant to leave XP, or is to awaiting Windows 7, very few somebody considers to turn and use Mac OS X and Linux. Cut luck to express, upgrading to new operating system is a long-term course, this kind of change needs time, can not judging “Vista because of this is the product ” of a failure. He still emphasizes saying, unless Windows of people throw the helve after the hatchet, it is to defer merely otherwise use new product and won’t produce too big effect to the gain of Microsoft.

Tags: , , , ,