Analysis: 8 years crisis of industry of global mobile phone comes

June 6, 2008

DoNews is commented on (take a pen small new) economy goes weak, the market is fatigued and weak, each are big the company is reduced anticipate, was sure adversary machine industry 2008 is a sad year.

8 the beginning of the year, company of each old market research ever was valued to foreground of mobile phone course of study, they think mobile phone sales volume won’t get in succession global economy is dispirited affect with what connect Peng, and can present rapid growth trend, predict mobile phone sales volume still will be in 8 years 10% above. Go up in succession because of manufacturer of this each old mobile phone move 8 years of shipment to estimate an end.

But this kind of false appearance is very fast undone. According to the statistic 8 years first quarter, although volume of shipment of mobile phone market grew 14% , but these growth basically come from hamster, middle east and Asia-Pacific area, Africa area to drive. In a few staple market, because suffer the influence sales volume of economic depression to glide quickly, the United States grows only 2.4% , western Europe market glided 16% .

Occupy the personage inside course of study to analyse, euramerican economy developeds of the area fatigued and weak, certainly will affects the sales volume of market of whole mobile phone.

Forecast according to authoritative orgnaization, be risen by raw material reach abidance that borrows storm to affect, volume of mobile phone shipment is amounted to hard in the 2 quarters of traditional busy season expect an end. At present this kind of evidence has supplied a respect to be shown somewhat in raw material, main supplier is like mobile phone chip to be connected high, the shipment volume of the Q2 such as De Yi and Ying Feiling fails to achieve expect an end, this certainly will affects amount of shipment of market of 3 quarters mobile phone. Actually, the phenomenon that IC chip sells the mobile phone to be not dropped is in had appeared first quarter.

Face such general trends, the exciting market demand, point that adjusts global sale to plan to will become manufacturer of each mobile phone to will work henceforth. Current, a few adjust not as good as company, for instance the Suoniaili of Euramerican market believes deep ploughing, be turned over to exceed by LG electron in this quarter, fall to the 5th. (be over)

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